Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.020180 0.021666 0.023212 0.024943 0.026827 0.028820 0.031088
2024-10-06 0.017501 0.019614 0.021925 0.024650 0.027783 0.031284 0.035507
2024-10-13 0.015687 0.018151 0.020950 0.024382 0.028496 0.033297 0.039360
2024-10-20 0.014176 0.016820 0.019915 0.023830 0.028686 0.034555 0.042256
2024-10-27 0.013353 0.016196 0.019612 0.024056 0.029738 0.036829 0.046462
2024-11-03 0.012573 0.015543 0.019193 0.024060 0.030450 0.038657 0.050159
2024-11-10 0.012035 0.015139 0.019036 0.024351 0.031506 0.040945 0.054576
2024-11-17 0.011333 0.014472 0.018486 0.024068 0.031750 0.042127 0.057514
2024-11-24 0.010781 0.013962 0.018100 0.023962 0.032199 0.043581 0.060894
2024-12-01 0.010207 0.013387 0.017586 0.023638 0.032304 0.044530 0.063570
2024-12-08 0.009819 0.013040 0.017357 0.023685 0.032918 0.046219 0.067434
2024-12-15 0.009343 0.012545 0.016896 0.023368 0.032973 0.047072 0.070052
2024-12-22 0.008841 0.011995 0.016335 0.022883 0.032760 0.047520 0.072087
2024-12-29 0.008457 0.011593 0.015965 0.022656 0.032913 0.048527 0.075074
2025-01-05 0.008099 0.011213 0.015606 0.022421 0.033034 0.049475 0.078013
2025-01-12 0.007692 0.010743 0.015093 0.021923 0.032710 0.049688 0.079713
2025-01-19 0.007510 0.010593 0.015043 0.022128 0.033498 0.051725 0.084667
2025-01-26 0.007286 0.010370 0.014872 0.022132 0.033957 0.053237 0.088797
2025-02-02 0.007143 0.010262 0.014869 0.022395 0.034847 0.055513 0.094455
2025-02-09 0.006878 0.009958 0.014551 0.022139 0.034856 0.056282 0.097393
2025-02-16 0.006667 0.009730 0.014340 0.022043 0.035125 0.057507 0.101263
2025-02-23 0.006422 0.009438 0.014018 0.021749 0.035038 0.058093 0.103942
2025-03-02 0.006267 0.009281 0.013904 0.021792 0.035530 0.059736 0.108795